The Casebook is Open!

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Welcome to The Cooperstown Casebook Online, the companion web site for my forthcoming book, to be released on July 25, 2017 by Thomas Dunne Books. This site is a work in progress, particularly as far as fleshing out the player section, which will contain outtakes from and extensions of what’s in the book, not the book content itself (I’m trying to sell you the thing, after all), though I will of course link the excerpts — not to mention anything I write that’s JAWS-themed.

Right now, this site’s primary purpose is as a one-stop shop for basic information about me, the activities I’m doing to promote the book and, soon, the reviews. I’m not shy about promoting any of that stuff on Twitter (see the book-related best-of here), but beyond spamming my followers half to death, I’ve chosen to give all this stuff a home.

I’ve got a ton of launch week events to promote in New York (including Cooperstown, during Induction Weekend) and New Jersey. I’ll be speaking and signing books at those, and will hopefully find a way to travel further afield after that’s done (if you want to get your hands on one of those slick baseball cards shown above, made via the folks behind the Rookies App, you’ll have to come and get it, though I’ll eventually have some online giveaways). In connection with the book, I have been and will continue to be interviewed on TV, the radio, in print and online as well.

So come on in, browse around, and please consider buying a book, either in advance of its release date, at one of my upcoming appearances, or at your favorite local bookstore.

 

 

Put a Star Next to That One

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I’m pleased to report that The Cooperstown Casebook has received a starred review in the new issue of the American Library Association Booklist, a trade publication aimed at libraries, educators, and booksellers. The first of what I hope is many good reviews to come.

If Cooperstown is the most hallowed hall of fame in American sport, then who does or doesn’t belong there may be the most enduring and animating topic among baseball fans. Baseball analyst Jaffe (SI.com, MLB Network) serves the discussion with distinction here… Jaffe pulls no punches here, yet he shares enough pure information to make this nearly indispensable for informed debate. —Alan Moores

The Cooperstown Casebook Table of Contents

Foreword by Peter Gammons    ix
Introduction: Why Care About the Hall of Fame?    xiii

PART I: BATTLES AND WARS    1
Chapter 1: The Ins and Outs of the Hall of Fame    3
Chapter 2: Stat School    9
Chapter 3. Swimming with JAWS    22
Chapter 4: How Voters Put Third Base in a Corner    28
Chapter 5: The Hall of Cronyism    48
Chapter 6: Blyleven, Morris, and the War on WAR    62
Chapter 7: Booms, Busts, Bottlenecks, and Ballot Reform    80
Chapter 8: This Is Your Ballot on Drugs    89

PART II: AROUND THE DIAMOND    105
Chapter 9: Catchers    107
+ Case Study: Ted Simmons
Chapter 10: First Basemen    128
+ Case Study: David Ortiz
Chapter 11: Second Basemen    158
+ Case Study: Bobby Grich
+ Case Study: Lou Whitaker
Chapter 12: Shortstops    189
+ Case Study: Alan Trammell
Chapter 13: Third Basemen    212
+ Case Study: Dick Allen
+ Case Study: Edgar Martinez
Chapter 14: Leftfielders    241
+ Case Study: Tim Raines
+ Case Study: Minnie Minoso
Chapter 15: Centerfielders    273
+ Case Study: Andruw Jones
Chapter 16: Rightfielders    298
+ Case Study: Larry Walker
Chapter 17: Starting Pitchers    327
+ Case Study: Curt Schilling
+ Case Study: Mike Mussina
Chapter 18: Relief Pitchers    388
+ Case Study: Mariano Rivera
Chapter 19: Slouching Toward Cooperstown    403

Sam Crawford • RF • HOF

12th in JAWS: (75.1 career/39.7 peak/57.4 JAWS)

Teams: Red 1899–1902 • Tigers 1903–17
Stats: .309/.362/.452 • 144 OPS+ • 2,961 H • 97 HR • 367 SB
Rankings: 11x top 5 SLG • 10x top 10 WAR • 9x top 5 OPS+ • 7x top 5 AVG
All-time: 1st 3B
Voting: Veterans Committee 1957

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“While we are no sculptor, we believe that if we were and were looking for a model for a statue of a slugger we would choose Sam Crawford for that role. Sam has tremendous shoulders and great strength. That strength is so placed in his frame and the weight so balanced that he can get it all behind the drive when he smites a baseball.”—F.C. Lane, Baseball Magazine, 1916

Though he collected 2,851 hits through 1915, his age 35 season, and declared reaching 3,000 to be his “chief ambition,” Wahoo Sam tailed off over the next two seasons. Supplanted by fellow future Hall of Famer Heilmann in 1916, he was released after the ’17 season and spent four years with the PCL’s Los Angeles Angels, who gave him a 47% raise. He never returned to the majors despite flickers of interest, and thus never got to 3,000.

Though that milestone didn’t interest him as much as money did, Crawford did have an affinity for the numbers. It pained me to cut this passage from the Casebook, which comes from H.G. Salsinger in the February 13, 1957 issue of The Sporting News, just following his election:

Ten years ago, Sam decided what baseball needed was a book containing the records of major league players of the past. He spent his spare time in libraries, going through old files and asking friends to fill him in. He expected to sell thousands of copies.

“How many people can tell you in what year Elmer Flick won the American League batting championship?” he asked. “What was his average? Did he bat right or lefthanded? How did he throw? What was his height? His weight? You could have all those questions answered in my book.”

No one told Sam that the idea had already been carried out by others, that Hy Turkin had authored a book, “Encyclopedia of Baseball,” and that J.G. Taylor Spink had produced “Daguerrotypes.”… For years, Sam was exploring a field that had already been fully cultivated.

Launch Week Events

Here’s a tentative schedule of launch week events where I’ll be signing books and, in some cases, drinking beer. Please save the date if you’re in the area:

Sunday, July 23, 1-3 pm
Yogi Berra Museum
Montclair State University
With author Ira Berkow (It Happens Every Spring)
8 Yogi Berra Dr.
Little Falls, NJ 07424

Monday, July 24, 7-9 pm
Varsity Letters
With authors Mark Feinsand (The New York Yankees Fans’ Bucket List), Ron Kaplan (Hank Greenberg in 1938: Hatred and Home Runs in the Shadow of War)and Greg Prince, (Piazza: Catcher, Slugger, Icon, Star)
The Gallery at Le Poisson Rouge
158 Bleecker St. (between Sullivan St. and Thompson St.)
New York, NY 10012

Tuesday, July 25, 5-7 pm
Foley’s NY Pub and Restaurant
18 W 33rd (Between 5th & 6th/Broadway)
New York, NY 10001

Wednesday, July 26, 7-9 pm
Bergino Baseball Clubhouse
67 East 11th St.
New York, NY 10003

Saturday, July 29, 2-4 pm
Willis Monie Books
139 Main St.
Cooperstown, NY 13326

Sunday, July 30, 7-9 pm
Induction Day SABR Meeting, Cliff Kachline Chapter
With authors Jonah Keri (Up, Up, & Away) and Richard Sandomir (The Pride of the Yankees) plus Chris Dial (SABR Defensive Committee)
Tillapaugh’s Funereal Home
28 Pioneer St.
Cooperstown. NY 13326

John Clarkson • RHP • HOF

11th in JAWS (84.0 career/74.9 peak/79.4 JAWS)

Teams: Worcester Ruby Legs 1882 • Chicago White Stockings 1884–87 • Boston Beaneaters 1888–92 • Cleveland Spiders 1892–94
Stats: 328-178 • 2.81 ERA • 133 ERA+ • 4,536.1 IP • 1,978 K
Rankings: 6x top 5 W • 6x top 5 WAR • 5x top 5 ERA • 5x top 3 K • 4x led IP
All-time: T-10th ERA+ • 12th W • 20th ERA
Voting: Veterans Committee 1963

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From the cutting room floor, here’s “The Nineteenth Century Pitchers Digression”…

Clarkson owns the highest JAWS ranking among a quintet of enshrined 19th-century hurlers — Pud Galvin, Tim Keefe, Old Hoss Radbourn and Mickey Welch are the others — who made their bones prior to 1893, when the pitching distance was set at 6’6″. During that time, the rules of the game were particularly in flux regarding the distance, type of delivery, ability of the batter to request a high or low pitch, number of balls required for a walk, and equipment.

In that era, top pitchers carried workloads that would now be unthinkable, routinely throwing more than 400 innings in a season, and even topping 600 on occasion, accompanied by astronomical totals of starts, complete games, wins and WAR as well. On that last note, a total of 32 pitchers combined for 52 10-WAR seasons from 1871-1892, an average of 2.4 per year; the aforementioned quintet accounted for 12 such seasons. Clarkson had three such seasons (13.1 in 1885, 14.9 in ’87 and 16.7 in ’89), with at least 620 innings in the two bookend seasons and 523 in the middle one.

By comparison, from 1893-1919, 17 pitchers combined for 35 10-WAR seasons, an average of 1.3 per year. Since 1920, 20 pitchers have combined for 28 such seasons, an average of 0.3 per year. What’s more, of the 45 pitchers who accumulated at least 20 WAR prior to 1893, only 18 even pitched after the distance change; five of them were gone by the start of the 1895 season, 12 by the start of 1898. Only three of the 18 tallied more than 20 WAR after the change, namely Cy Young (147.2), Kid Nichols (84.6) and Amos Rusie (44.8), and only three others, guys you probably haven’t heard of — Sadie McMahon, Jack Stivetts and Bill Hutchison — totaled more than 10 WAR. Of the enshrined quintet, only Clarkson (4.4 WAR in 1893-94) and Keefe (1.2 WAR in ’93) pitched to the new distance at all.

All of which is a long-winded way of saying that the numbers of these pre-1893 guys — and those with comparable numbers who aren’t in the Hall, such as Jim McCormick, Tommy Bond, Charlie Buffinton, Tony Mullane and Bob Caruthers, to reel off the next five names in the JAWS rankings — should be taken with a grain of salt. While I’ve considered the possibility of removing the aforementioned quintet from the set before calculating the standards, ultimately, it doesn’t move the needle very much. Including all 62 starters, the averages are 73.9/50.3/62.1, while without those five, they’re 73.7/49.0/61.3, less than a full JAWS point. The two guys who slide above the standard are Bond and Buffinton, not that anybody should rush out to put them on the Early Baseball Era Committee ballot. If anything, voters should regard Curt Schilling and Mike Mussina as being further above the standard.